Trump
Biden
Let's be honest in a fair election there's no way Kamala wins.
Yes, yes it’s only a fair election if the candidate I like wins
I think Trump will win but let’s not start this shit again just because he’s a massive baby who can’t take losing
Looking at the trends with early voting (obviously votes aren’t counted but you can get an idea by party registration), it doesn’t look like it will be close to me. Nevada looks like it’s going Republican for first time in 20 years, Michigan looks foreclosed on as well.
Harris may well still win the popular vote, but in the EC….looks like Trump will run the board in the swing states. Switching Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin red.
Traditionally though the inverse is true, Democrats vote early and Republicans vote on the day. Now of course COVID absolutely put that tradition on steroids especially with Absentee ballots. But the drop off rate for Democrats especially in swing states like Nevada mean that Harris probably has to hope that there are a lot of Never Trump Republicans voting for her, that has not been the case in the last two elections
The younger voters are likely to not vote at all, or vote for cranks like Jill Stein…because they have hurty feelings about Israel making sure Hamas won’t ever be in a position to repeat October 7th because they can’t tell the difference between a resistance movement like the ANC in South Africa and a corrupt nihilistic cult of death and puppet organisation for its client the Iranian theocracy.
Biggest concentration of Arab American voters is in Michigan, they’ve swung massively to Trump because their hatred of Jews overrides their hatred of someone who spent years othering them. That will be enough to turn Michigan red again (in my view)
Last edited by HCZ_Reborn; 28-10-2024 at 10:43 PM.