I said to friend of mine just now, it’s not really in our hands what result we get from this game. Because as watertight as our defence has been, last night showed we are still capable of the odd mistake that can be punished in a split second. But even without that, with a freak like Haaland it’s possible to make no errors and still lose.
Because Arteta has prioritised defence to the exclusion of everything else, with the personnel available to us the option to take the game to City simply does not exist in the way it did when City-Liverpool had their mini rivalry.
That’s not to say we can’t win the game, but it will be more a case of factors involving how well City defend…if they switch off…we absolutely can do enough to nick a goal and perform a shut out. Equally if Haaland performs like he did against Inter, I would be quite confident in our ability to contain him.
In terms of percentages I’d probably say 45% City win, 40% chance of a draw and 15% chance we win